Baltimore Orioles

_____________________

MLB 2015 ESPN

Win Percentage

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/wins/season/2015/group/league

Runs Scored Offense

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointsfor/season/2015/group/league

Runs Allowed Defense

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointsagainst/season/2015/group/league

Differential

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointdifferential/season/2015/group/league

_____________________

Roster Resource

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-baltimore-orioles

_____________________

ESPN - Relief Pitching - Bull Pen

http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/team/_/stat/pitching/split/128

_____________________

FanGraphs - Relief Pitching - Bull Pen

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=15,a

_____________________

FanGraphs - Fielding

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=8,d

_____________________

FanGraphs - BaseRunning

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=c,40,23,37,38,39,61,41,6,4,50,11,-1,12,13,21,-1,34,35,-1,111,-1,203,199,58&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=18,d

_____________________

RotoWorld

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/depth-charts/mlb.aspx?league=American

RotoWorld - Injuries

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/injuries/mlb/all/

_____________________

ESPN closer depth chart

http://espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=REcloserorgchart

CLOSER: Zach Britton NEXT UP: Darren O'Day SETUP: Brad Brach Brian Matusz Mychal Givens

_____________________

MLB.com Depth Chart

http://mlb.mlb.com/team/depth_chart/index.jsp?c_id=bal

_____________________

FanGraphs Starting Pitchers 2015 innings pitched > 10

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,8,13,16,10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=3,d

_____________________

FanGraphs Relief Pitchers 2015 innings pitched > 10

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,8,13,16,10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

_____________________

Projected Wins

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

_____________________

2015   Wins  81   Baltimore

_______

+Strengths

Bull Pen / Relief Pitchers

Run scoring

_______

Weaknesses

Starting Pitchers
pretty scarey

Atlanta is worse

_______

Fielding has average rating 2015

_______

Conclusion
^Over   78.5  wins  regular season

I think that Baltimore will be better this season,
But the starting pitchers are a major weakness.

Last season 2015  Baltimore had  81  wins.
Vegas says 78.5.
Over is good

Baltimore is about the same


_______

Fangraphs projects that Baltimore
will have the 2nd highest Runs scored in 2016

_______

1. Run scoring
2. Fielding
3. Starting Pitchers / Relief Pitchers

_______


Whole Game

2nd half team

Not first five innings

Over in the first five innings

_____________________

Pedro Alvarez

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/29962/pedro-alvarez

_____________________

_____________________
_____________________
_____________________

_____________________

ESPN  Projected Lineups  MLB  preseason
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams

_____________________

Baltimore Orioles

BATTING ORDER	ROTATION
1 -- 3B Manny Machado (R)	Ubaldo Jimenez (R) -- SP1
2 -- CF Adam Jones (R)	Yovani Gallardo (R) -- SP2
3 -- 1B Chris Davis (L)	Chris Tillman (R) -- SP3
4 -- RF Mark Trumbo (R)	Miguel Gonzalez (R) -- SP4
5 -- C Matt Wieters (B)	Kevin Gausman (R) -- SP5
6 -- DH Pedro Alvarez (L)	BULLPEN
7 -- SS J.J. Hardy (R)	Darren O'Day (R) -- ST
8 -- 2B Jonathan Schoop (R)	Brad Brach (R) -- ST
9 -- LF Hyun Soo Kim (L)	Zach Britton (L) -- CL

Altanta Braves

_____________________

MLB   2015   ESPN

Win Percentage

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/wins/season/2015/group/league

Runs Scored  Offense

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointsfor/season/2015/group/league

Runs Allowed Defense

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointsagainst/season/2015/group/league

Differential

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointdifferential/season/2015/group/league

_____________________

Roster Resource

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-atlanta-braves/

_____________________

ESPN   - Relief Pitching   - Bull Pen

http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/team/_/stat/pitching/split/128

_____________________

FanGraphs   - Relief Pitching   - Bull Pen

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=15,a

_____________________

FanGraphs   - Fielding

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=8,d

_____________________

FanGraphs   - BaseRunning

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=c,40,23,37,38,39,61,41,6,4,50,11,-1,12,13,21,-1,34,35,-1,111,-1,203,199,58&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=18,d

_____________________

RotoWorld

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/depth-charts/mlb.aspx?league=National

RotoWorld   - Injuries
http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/injuries/mlb/all/

_____________________

ESPN closer depth chart

http://espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=REcloserorgchart

CLOSER:
Arodys Vizcaino
NEXT UP:
Jim Johnson
SETUP:
Matt Marksberry
SLEEPER:
Mike Foltynewicz
LOOMING:
Jason Grilli

_____________________

MLB.com Depth Chart

http://mlb.mlb.com/team/depth_chart/index.jsp?c_id=atl

_____________________

FanGraphs   Starting  Pitchers   2015  innings pitched > 10

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,8,13,16,10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=3,d

_____________________

FanGraphs   Relief  Pitchers   2015  innings pitched > 10

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,8,13,16,10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

_____________________

_____________________

Projected Wins

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

_____________________

ATL BRAVES  ov66.5 -128

ATL BRAVES  un66.5 +108 

2015   Atlanta  67  wins

2016  Atlanta looks pretty bad

starting pitcher unit is C grade

- No bet

_____________________

_____________________

_____________________

ESPN  Projected Lineups  MLB  preseason
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams

_____________________

Atlanta Braves

BATTING ORDER	ROTATION
1 -- CF Ender Inciarte (L)	Julio Teheran (R) -- SP1
2 -- SS Erick Aybar (B)	Matt Wisler (R) -- SP2
3 -- RF Nick Markakis (L)	Bud Norris (R) -- SP3
4 -- 1B Freddie Freeman (L)	Williams Perez (R) -- SP4
5 -- LF Hector Olivera (R)	Manny Banuelos (L) -- SP5
6 -- C A.J. Pierzynski (L)	BULLPEN
7 -- 3B Adonis Garcia (R)	Arodys Vizcaine (R) -- ST
8 -- 2B Jace Peterson (L)	Jim Johnson (R) -- ST
	Jason Grilli (R) -- CL

Arizona Diamondbacks

_____________________


MLB   2015   ESPN

Win Percentage
http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/wins/season/2015/group/league

Runs Scored  Offense
http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointsfor/season/2015/group/league

Runs Allowed Defense
http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointsagainst/season/2015/group/league

Differential
http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/sort/pointdifferential/season/2015/group/league


_____________________

ESPN  Projected Lineups  MLB  preseason
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams

_____________________

Roster Resource

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-arizona-diamondbacks/


_____________________


ESPN

Relief Pitching

Bull Pen

http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/team/_/stat/pitching/split/128

_____________________

FanGraphs

Relief Pitching

Bull Pen

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=15,a

_____________________

FanGraphs

Fielding

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=8,d

_____________________

RotoWorld

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/depth-charts/mlb.aspx?league=National

_____________________


ESPN closer depth chart

http://espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=REcloserorgchart

_____________________

MLB.com Depth Chart

http://mlb.mlb.com/team/depth_chart/index.jsp?c_id=ari

_____________________

Projected Wins

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings


_____________________

FanGraphs  Starting Pitchers

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/pitching/complete-list-pitching/


http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,8,13,-1,36,37,40,48,6,16,41,42,112,113,139,140,3,10,14,48&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0


Starting Pitchers
Full Season
Innings Pitched  >  10


download the excel spreadsheet

_____________________

RotoWorld   Injuries

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/injuries/mlb/all/


_____________________

ARI D'BACKS  ov82-108
ARI D'BACKS  un82-112

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

2015   Arizona   79 Wins

Projected improvement 2016

Improvement  >  79

*Over 82

_____________________

_____________________

_____________________

_____________________

21 reasons

_____________________

_____________________

_____________________

RosterResource.com Depth Chart

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-arizona-diamondbacks/


http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-arizona-diamondbacks/

2nd  Half   FanGraphs   wRC+   2015
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=10&type=8&season=2015&month=31&season1=2015&ind=0&team=15&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=16,d


MLB standings 2015 ( last year )

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings

MLB standings 2014

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/season/2014

MLB standings 2013

http://espn.go.com/mlb/standings/_/season/2013

Arizona Diamondbacks 2015

Runs Created

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/ari/type/expanded/cat/runsCreated/arizona-diamondbacks

WAR

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/ari/cat/offWARBR/arizona-diamondbacks

Fielding Defensive WAR

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/fielding/_/name/ari/cat/defWARBR/arizona-diamondbacks

Pitcher Games Started

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/pitching/_/name/ari/cat/gamesStarted/order/true/arizona-diamondbacks

Pitcher Innings Pitched

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/pitching/_/name/ari/cat/thirdInnings/order/true/arizona-diamondbacks

Pitcher As Reliever

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/pitching/_/name/ari/cat/thirdInnings/order/true/split/128/arizona-diamondbacks

Pitcher As Starter

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/pitching/_/name/ari/cat/thirdInnings/order/true/split/127/arizona-diamondbacks

Transactions

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/transactions/_/name/ari/arizona-diamondbacks

Rotoworld Depth Chart

http://www.rotoworld.com/teams/depth-charts/mlb.aspx?league=National

MLB.com Depth Chart

http://mlb.mlb.com/team/depth_chart/index.jsp?c_id=ari

RosterResource.com Depth Chart

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-arizona-diamondbacks/

CBS Depth Chart

http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/teams/depth-chart/ARI/arizona-diamondbacks

FoxSports Depth Chart

http://www.foxsports.com/fantasy/baseball/commissioner/Players/DepthCharts.aspx

FoxSports Injury Report

http://www.foxsports.com/fantasy/baseball/commissioner/Players/Injuries.aspx

FantasyAlarm Depth Chart

http://www.fantasyalarm.com/depthchart/mlb/

FantasyPros Closer Depth Chart

http://www.fantasypros.com/mlb/closer-depth-charts.php

ESPN BullPen Depth Chart

http://espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=REcloserorgchart

FangGraphs Projections

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

RotoBaller Closer Depth Chart

http://www.rotoballer.com/mlb-saves-closers-depth-charts/226767

ESPN fantasy

http://games.espn.go.com/flb/tools/projections?&display=alt

ESPN closer depth chart

http://espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/flb/story?page=REcloserorgchart

CLOSER:
Brad Ziegler
NEXT UP:
Tyler Clippard
SETUP:
Daniel Hudson
Josh Collmenter
SLEEPER:
Silvino Bracho

Brad Ziegler 1.85

Tyler Clippard 2.92 NY Mets

Daniel Hudson 3.86

Josh Collmenter 3.79

Silvino Bracho 1.46

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/29147/brad-ziegler

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/28694/tyler-clippard

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/30376/daniel-hudson

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/31090/josh-collmenter

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/34119/silvino-bracho

MLB.com Depth Chart

http://mlb.mlb.com/team/depth_chart/index.jsp?c_id=ari

RosterResource.com Depth Chart

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-arizona-diamondbacks/

ESPN

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/depth/_/name/ari

Batters

Jean Segura from Milwaukee

Milwaukee's payroll

http://espn.go.com/blog/buster-olney/insider/post?id=12276

OF Khris Davis Milwaukee to Oakland

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14768738/oakland-athletics-trade-milwaukee-brewers-khris-davis

Arizona Batters

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/29564/welington-castillo

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/31027/paul-goldschmidt

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/31037/jean-segura

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/32355/nick-ahmed

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/32742/jake-lamb

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/33384/david-peralta

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/30699/aj-pollock

http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/33662/yasmany-tomas

Runs Created 2015

http://espn.go.com/mlb/team/stats/batting/_/name/ari/type/expanded/cat/runsCreated/arizona-diamondbacks

Trades  2015 players traded away to other teams

Atlanta Braves
http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/stats/_/id/31327/ender-inciarte

Milwaukee Brewers
http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/_/id/6190/aaron-hill


Defense Fangraphs
http://www.fangraphs.com/library/defense/

DEF  Fangraphs Fielding 2015
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=23,d

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/defense/def/

DRS  Fangraphs Fielding 2015
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=fld&lg=all&qual=0&type=1&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=8,d

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/defense/drs/

BsR  Fangraphs  BaseRunning 2015
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=17,d

BsR 
http://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/bsr/

Relievers Pitching  2015

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=15,a



_______

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=8&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=6,d

Batter Stats

R = Runs scored by the player

This is still a useful stat.
There a team, situational, lineup factors.

R  still tell us something about the player.
Player gets  On base
Not getting out
successfully scores

RBI
is a team stat
it shows that the team can get players  On base
and the baserunners successfully get to home plate
Not getting out

High  R  and  RBI  provides useful information

Low  R and RBI  Not as useful

More stats is better
Extract all information out of the stats that you can from the stats that you have

Batting Average is useful
I do Not like  stat experts  who try to shoot down stats
Also experts try to get One stat like War
Look   we want all stats
We want more stats

the new ERA substitutes   FIP
introduces assumptions
you must declare assumptions
assumptions
empirical equations
you still need to raw data

multi variable analysis
it is sometimes better to keep the raw data
but data mine and filter based on  2  or 3 stats


_______


http://www.fangraphs.com/library/pitching/complete-list-pitching/


http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,8,13,-1,36,37,40,48,6,16,41,42,112,113,139,140,3,10,14,48&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0


Starting Pitchers
Full Season
Innings Pitched  >  10


download the excel spreadsheet

_______
_____________________

FanGraphs
http://www.fangraphs.com/library/pitching/complete-list-pitching/

Relief Pitchers
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,10,8,13&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

Relief Pitchers
Full Season
Innings Pitched  >  10


download the excel spreadsheet

_____________________


FanGraphs   Starting Pitchers   Revised

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,8,13,16,10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=3,d

_____________________

RELIEF   PITCHERS

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=rel&lg=all&qual=10&type=c,6,16,36,40,37,36,113,139,140,112,40,48,41,42,3,8,13,16,10&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0

_____________________

FanGraphs   - BaseRunning

http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&type=c,40,23,37,38,39,61,41,6,4,50,11,-1,12,13,21,-1,34,35,-1,111,-1,203,199,58&season=2015&month=0&season1=2015&ind=0&team=0,ts&rost=0&age=0&filter=&players=0&sort=18,d

_____________________

Best offseason
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14786897/best-worst-mlb-offseason

_______

1. Run scoring
2. Fielding
3. Starting Pitchers / Relief Pitchers

_______

Effort

MLB is Lazy  in general
MLB has a culture / tradition of Laziness / wanting to look cool
Lackadaisical
Hit the ball, stand at the plate, see where it goes,
then run ??? 
Get a stopwatch 

Every player should SPRINT to first base

Look for teams with a culture of Great Effort / High Motor

Skill and Will

MLB with Great Effort / High Motor
have a Huge Advantage 
over the average MLB team with mediocre effort

Effort Index

_______

http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/post/_/id/68778/brett-on-poor-projections-for-royals-stats-dont-measure-brain-or-heart

ESPN  Projected Lineups  MLB  preseason

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams



MLB park dimensions

http://m.mlb.com/cutfour/2014/04/28/73642276/the-dimensions-of-every-big-league-ballpark-in-this-cool-infographic


MLB park dimensions

http://thumbnails.visually.netdna-cdn.com/baseballs-many-physical-dimensions_53344ca673751.png


MLB Park Factors - 2015


http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor/_/year/2015/sort/HRFactor



ESPN  Lineup  Pre 2016

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams


___

Pitcher
K
HR
RA

___

2 major hidden stats
Fielding   FanGraphs
Bull Pen   Relief Pitcher  Runs Allowed

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http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams

Arizona Diamondbacks

BATTING ORDER	ROTATION
1 -- 2B Jean Segura (R)	Zack Greinke (R) -- SP1
2 -- CF A.J. Pollock (R)	Shelby Miller (R) -- SP2
3 -- 1B Paul Goldschmidt (R)	Patrick Corbin (L) -- SP3
4 -- RF David Peralta (L)	Rubby De La Rosa (L) -- SP4
5 -- C Welington Castillo (R)	Robbie Ray (L) -- SP5
6 -- 3B Jake Lamb (L)	BULLPEN
7 -- LF Yasmany Tomas (R)	Tyler Clippard (R) -- ST
8 -- SS Nick Ahmed (R)	Daniel Hudson (R) -- ST
	Brad Ziegler (R) -- CL

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http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on-baseball/25487993/miller-trade-davis-signing-among-worst-moves-of-the-mlb-offseason


http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-free-agents-2015-16/


http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-trade-tracker-2015-16-offseason/

http://www.rosterresource.com/mlb-free-agents-2015-16/


http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/news/hot_stove/y2015/free_agent_tracker.jsp


http://m.mlb.com/news/article/159776114/the-10-best-upgrades-so-far-this-offseason

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14068895/mlb-hot-stove-free-agency-offseason-moves

http://espn.go.com/mlb/freeagents/_/type/ranked

http://espn.go.com/mlb/transactions

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/14936299/mlb-projected-lineups-all-30-teams

http://www.fangraphs.com/library/principles/park-factors/

http://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?type=pf&season=2014&teamid=0&sort=13,d

https://baseballmonster.com/MLBParkFactors.aspx

http://playbook.draftkings.com/mlb/ballpark-factors/

http://joeposnanski.com/a-bit-more-math-park-factors/

http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2014/2/23/5410106/fun-with-park-factors


http://espn.go.com/mlb/stats/closers/_/year/2015

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Soccer  Underdog
+1.5
magic number

during Regulation

that extra  1/2  point is big

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+1.5

eliminate payoff less than  -150

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+1

try it but you want EV  even money or better

eliminate  less than  -110

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Payout  vs  Probability


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Draws are very common

+1/2  point
for regulation play is actually significant for soccer

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Poker Bots

http://www.pokernews.com/news/2016/03/heads-up-bots-stronger-than-humans-nlhe-never-solved-24312.htm

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